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Jeremy Beale vs Sam Ryan Ziegann — M25 Tamworth Quarter-final

M25 TamworthQuarter-finalHardFri 30 Oct · 10:00
Jeremy BealeAUS71%
VSClear favourite · Beale J.
Sam Ryan ZiegannATP #817 · AUS29%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Beale J.
71%29%

Clear edge for Beale J. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Beale J.3.7/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Ryan Ziegann S.4.4/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form4 of last 9 on hardAgainst the prediction · Ryan Ziegann S.
Recent runLost last 3Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 624
Hard ELO1 614
Last 107–3
Age32
Height193 cm
PlaysLeft
ELO1 538
Hard ELO1 542
Last 106–4
Age28
Height191 cm
PlaysRight

Jeremy Beale faces Sam Ryan Ziegann in the M25 Tamworth quarter-final on hard. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Beale J.Ryan Ziegann S.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)6–4
Season win rate74% (14–5) (ahead)55% (16–13)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1624 (ahead)1538
Hard-court ELO1614 (ahead)1542
Serve vs returnLast 10 vs 19 matches
1st-serve points won72% (ahead)67%
Return points won40% (ahead)37%
Aces / match6.5 (ahead)5.9
ClutchLast 10 vs 19 matches
Break points saved64% (ahead)60%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast21°C · Clear
Wind4 km/h
Humidity48%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Jeremy Beale vs Sam Ryan Ziegann — M25 Tamworth Quarter-final", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-30/beale-vs-ziegann-m25-tamworth-qf?utm_source=cite (as of 30 October 2026).