UMPIRY
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Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun — Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou Round of 16

Guangzhou Open - GuangzhouR16HardThu 29 Oct · 10:00
Maria Timofeeva(7)WTA #72 · UZB85%
VSStrong favourite · Timofeeva M.
Xinran SunCHN15%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Timofeeva M.
85%15%

Clear edge for Timofeeva M. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 7 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Timofeeva M.6.8/10
Slight advantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Sun X.5.9/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form8 of last 10 on hardInformative
Recent run2-match win streakAgainst the prediction · Sun X.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 833
Hard ELO1 687
Last 108–2
Age22
PlaysRight
ELO1 578
Hard ELO1 561
Last 108–2
Age56
PlaysRight

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Timofeeva M.Sun X.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss8–28–2
Season win rate67% (39–19)72% (13–5) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1833 (ahead)1578
Hard-court ELO1687 (ahead)1561
Serve vs returnLast 57 vs 12 matches
1st-serve points won62% (ahead)57%
Return points won49%50% (ahead)
Aces / match1.9 (ahead)0.9
ClutchLast 57 vs 12 matches
Break points saved57% (ahead)48%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast27°C · Clear
Wind7 km/h
Humidity54%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun — Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-29/sun-vs-timofeeva-guangzhou-open-guangzhou-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 29 October 2026).