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Sloane Stephens vs Astra Sharma — W100 New Braunfels Round of 16

W100 New BraunfelsR16HardThu 29 Oct · 12:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Stephens S.
93%7%

Clear edge for Stephens S. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 14 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Stephens S.5.2/10
Clear underdog
Sharma A.2.6/10
Heavy underdog
Why
Surface+164 Hard Elo edgeSupports Stephens S.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1682Supports Stephens S.
Recent runLost last 11Informative
CountryWon 65% in USA (75)Against the prediction · Sharma A.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 864
Hard ELO1 736
Last 108–2
Age33
Height170 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $19.4M2026 $411K
ELO1 674
Hard ELO1 599
Last 109–1
Age31
Height178 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $2.2M2026 $93K

Sloane Stephens faces Astra Sharma in the W100 New Braunfels round of 16 on hard. Sloane Stephens holds the paper edge — ranked #117, a roughly 160-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Stephens S.Sharma A.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss8–29–1 (ahead)
Season win rate54% (25–21)72% (21–8) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1864 (ahead)1674
Hard-court ELO1736 (ahead)1599
Serve vs returnLast 43 vs 28 matches
1st-serve points won60%69% (ahead)
Return points won44%48% (ahead)
Aces / match1.23.5 (ahead)
ClutchLast 43 vs 28 matches
Break points saved54% (ahead)53%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

12:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast23°C · Overcast
Wind12 km/h
Humidity84%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Sloane Stephens vs Astra Sharma — W100 New Braunfels Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-29/sharma-vs-stephens-w100-new-braunfels-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 29 October 2026).