UMPIRY
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Clement Tabur vs Toby Samuel — Brest Round of 16

BrestR16HardThu 29 Oct · 15:30
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Samuel T.
26%74%

Clear edge for Samuel T. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Tabur C.4.7/10
Heavy underdog
Samuel T.5.6/10
Slight disadvantage
Why
Surface+156 Hard Elo edgeSupports Samuel T.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1745Supports Samuel T.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Samuel T.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 768
Hard ELO1 621
Last 106–4
Age26
Height173 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $726K2026 $285K
ELO1 875
Hard ELO1 765
Last 106–4
Age24
Height191 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $651K2026 $536K

Clement Tabur faces Toby Samuel in the Brest round of 16 on hard. Toby Samuel is the paper favourite — ranked #97, a roughly 160-point hard Elo advantage — but Clement Tabur arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 7 on hard to Toby Samuel's 3 of 7.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Tabur C.Samuel T.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–46–4
Season win rate58% (36–26)68% (38–18) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO17681875 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO16211765 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 60 vs 54 matches
1st-serve points won72% (ahead)69%
Return points won39%41% (ahead)
Aces / match4.6 (ahead)4.4
ClutchLast 60 vs 54 matches
Break points saved62%65% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

15:30 local
SurfaceHard · fast
Forecast14°C · Overcast
Wind13 km/h
Humidity63%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Tabur C.Samuel T.
8Days since last match8
0Matches · 7 days0
0Games · 7 days0
4Matches · 14 days1 — fresher
95Games · 14 days22 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Clement Tabur vs Toby Samuel — Brest Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-29/samuel-vs-tabur-brest-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 29 October 2026).