Baotong Xu vs Sofia Camila Rojas | W15 Monastir Round of 16

UMPIRY

W15 MonastirR16HardThu 29 Oct · 09:30

Baotong XuCHN26%

VSClear favourite · Rojas S.

Sofia Camila Rojas(6)USA74%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Rojas S.

26%74%

Clear edge for Rojas S. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Xu B.4.8/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Rojas S.5.0/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

What we know

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 517

Hard ELO1 512

Last 107–3

Age16

ELO1 604

Hard ELO1 604

Last 107–3

Age23

Baotong Xu faces Sofia Camila Rojas in the W15 Monastir round of 16 on hard. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Last match: Sofia Camila Rojas dropped just 4 games past Abigeyle Bhopal.
Last match: Baotong Xu handed Emna Gharbi a first-set bagel in a 6–0 6–1 win.
Fatigue load: Baotong Xu carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Xu B.Rojas S.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss7–37–3

Season win rate69% (9–4)71% (27–11)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO15171604

Hard-court ELO15121604

Serve vs returnLast 6 vs 26 matches

1st-serve points won69%64%

Return points won51%46%

Aces / match1.31.3

ClutchLast 6 vs 26 matches

Break points saved54%58%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

09:30 local

SurfaceHard · slow

Forecast21°C · Overcast

Wind5 km/h

Humidity76%

Court pace slow: low bounce, long rallies.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Baotong Xu vs Sofia Camila Rojas — W15 Monastir Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-29/rojas-vs-xu-w15-monastir-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 29 October 2026).