Sada Nahimana vs Harmony Tan | W75 Poitiers Round of 16

UMPIRY

W75 PoitiersR16HardThu 29 Oct · 13:00

Sada NahimanaWTA #336 · BDI26%

VSClear favourite · Tan H.

Harmony Tan(4)WTA #200 · FRA74%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Tan H.

26%74%

Clear edge for Tan H. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Nahimana S.4.0/10

Heavy underdog

Tan H.5.6/10

Slight disadvantage

Why

Surface+215 Hard Elo edgeSupports Tan H.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1585Supports Tan H.

Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardSupports Tan H.

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 652

Hard ELO1 515

Last 105–5

Age25

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $247K2026 $47K

ELO1 737

Hard ELO1 657

Last 108–2

Age29

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $1.7M2026 $188K

Sada Nahimana faces Harmony Tan in the W75 Poitiers round of 16 on hard. Harmony Tan holds the paper edge — ranked #200, a roughly 220-point hard Elo advantage. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1, Harmony Tan ahead 1–0 on hard.

Key context

Last match: Sada Nahimana dropped just 6 games past Stephanie Judith Visscher.
Last match: Harmony Tan dropped just 3 games past Liv Boulard.
Head-to-head: The head-to-head is level 1–1, 0–1 on hard. Last met at W75 Grenoble 1 2024.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

2 meetings · level 1–1

Hard: Tan H. leads 1–0 · Clay: Nahimana S. leads 1–0

Tan H.February 2024W75 Grenoble 1Hard6-4 6-3
Nahimana S.July 2021W60 MontpellierClay6-2 1-0

Evidence

Nahimana S.Tan H.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss5–58–2

Season win rate55% (21–17)63% (33–19)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO16521737

Hard-court ELO15151657

Serve vs returnLast 38 vs 50 matches

1st-serve points won61%67%

Return points won45%45%

Aces / match1.92.7

ClutchLast 38 vs 50 matches

Break points saved53%57%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

13:00 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast14°C · Overcast

Wind14 km/h

Humidity61%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Sada Nahimana vs Harmony Tan — W75 Poitiers Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-29/nahimana-vs-tan-w75-poitiers-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 29 October 2026).