UMPIRY
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Luciana Moyano vs Sofia Simon Padros — W15 Neuquen Round of 16

W15 NeuquenR16ClayThu 29 Oct · 11:30
Luciana Moyano(1)WTA #548 · ARG78%
VSClear favourite · Moyano L.
Sofia Simon PadrosARG22%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Moyano L.
78%22%

Clear edge for Moyano L. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 5 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Moyano L.5.6/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Padros S.4.9/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
What we know
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 582
Clay ELO1 570
Last 107–3
Age21
ELO1 495
Clay ELO1 498
Last 105–5
Age16

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Moyano L.Padros S.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)5–5
Season win rate65% (35–19) (ahead)50% (3–3)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1582 (ahead)1495
Clay-court ELO1570 (ahead)1498
Serve vs returnLast 49 vs 4 matches
1st-serve points won61%61%
Return points won51% (ahead)50%
Aces / match0.4 (ahead)0.3
ClutchLast 49 vs 4 matches
Break points saved54% (ahead)36%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:30 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast19°C · Clear
Wind12 km/h
Humidity47%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Luciana Moyano vs Sofia Simon Padros — W15 Neuquen Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-29/moyano-vs-padros-w15-neuquen-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 29 October 2026).