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Tyler Zink vs Marko Mesarovic — M25 Norman Round of 16

M25 NormanR16HardThu 29 Oct · 12:00
Tyler Zink(5)ATP #442 · USA66%
VSSlight edge · Zink T.
Marko MesarovicUSA34%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Zink T.
66%34%

Zink T. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Zink T.4.1/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Mesarovic M.4.4/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form2 of last 10 on hardInformative
Recent runLost last 6Informative
CountryWon 64% in USA (53)Against the prediction · Mesarovic M.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 614
Hard ELO1 546
Last 102–8
Age25
ELO1 562
Hard ELO1 558
Last 107–3
Age22

Tyler Zink faces Marko Mesarovic in the M25 Norman round of 16 on hard. Marko Mesarovic brings the better recent hard form (7 of 10).

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Zink T.Mesarovic M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss2–87–3 (ahead)
Season win rate46% (24–28)60% (12–8) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1614 (ahead)1562
Hard-court ELO15461558 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 50 vs 12 matches
1st-serve points won72% (ahead)71%
Return points won37%39% (ahead)
Aces / match6.1 (ahead)3.2
ClutchLast 50 vs 12 matches
Break points saved64%64%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

12:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast26°C · Overcast
Wind16 km/h
Humidity61%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Tyler Zink vs Marko Mesarovic — M25 Norman Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-29/mesarovic-vs-zink-m25-norman-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 29 October 2026).