Elijah Strode vs Maxwell Mckennon | M15 Mazatlan Round of 16

UMPIRY

M15 MazatlanR16HardThu 29 Oct · 10:05

Elijah StrodeUSA27%

VSClear favourite · McKennon M.

Maxwell Mckennon(3)ATP #671 · USA73%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · McKennon M.

27%73%

Clear edge for McKennon M. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Strode E.5.1/10

Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

McKennon M.5.3/10

Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form4 of last 10 on hardSupports McKennon M.

Head-to-headTrails 0–1 on hardInformative

Recent runLost last 2Both players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 521

Hard ELO1 519

Last 104–6

Age24

PlaysLeft

ELO1 551

Hard ELO1 543

Last 104–6

Age24

PlaysLeft

Elijah Strode faces Maxwell Mckennon in the M15 Mazatlan round of 16 on hard. Maxwell Mckennon holds the paper edge — leading the head-to-head 1–0. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Last match: Maxwell Mckennon dropped just 6 games past Cristian Felipe Sanchez Rojas.
Last match: Elijah Strode handed Alberto Odiseo Alvarado Berrospi a first-set bagel in a 6–0 7–5 win.
Head-to-head: Maxwell Mckennon leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at M15 Lakewood 2 2023.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

1 meeting · McKennon M. leads 1–0

McKennon M.July 2023M15 Lakewood 2Hard6-7(5) 7-6(2) 10-5

Evidence

Strode E.McKennon M.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss4–64–6

Season win rate100% (1–0)43% (10–13)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO15211551

Hard-court ELO15191543

Serve vs returnLast 1 vs 21 matches

1st-serve points won84%71%

Return points won45%37%

Aces / match1.04.0

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:05 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast25°C · Showers

Wind16 km/h

Humidity89%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Elijah Strode vs Maxwell Mckennon — M15 Mazatlan Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-29/mckennon-vs-strode-m15-mazatlan-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 29 October 2026).