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Luca Pow vs Aidan Mchugh — M25 Norman Round of 16

M25 NormanR16HardThu 29 Oct · 10:00
Luca PowGBR13%
VSStrong favourite · Mchugh A.
Aidan Mchugh(8)ATP #488 · GBR87%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Mchugh A.
13%87%

Clear edge for Mchugh A. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 8 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Pow L.3.5/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Mchugh A.5.1/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form5 of last 10 on hardSupports Mchugh A.
Recent runLost last 3Informative
CountryWon 64% in USA (107)Supports Mchugh A.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 496
Hard ELO1 498
Last 105–5
Age21
PlaysLeft
ELO1 679
Hard ELO1 663
Last 107–3
Age26
PlaysRight

Luca Pow faces Aidan Mchugh in the M25 Norman round of 16 on hard. Aidan Mchugh brings the better recent hard form (6 of 8).

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Pow L.Mchugh A.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–57–3 (ahead)
Season win rate50% (6–6)71% (12–5) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO14961679 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO14981663 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 6 vs 17 matches
1st-serve points won70%71% (ahead)
Return points won39%41% (ahead)
Aces / match1.74.3 (ahead)
ClutchLast 6 vs 17 matches
Break points saved54%65% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast21°C · Clear
Wind18 km/h
Humidity79%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Luca Pow vs Aidan Mchugh — M25 Norman Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-29/mchugh-vs-pow-m25-norman-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 29 October 2026).