Wojciech Marek vs M. Plunger | M15 Selva Gardena Quarter-final

UMPIRY

M15 Selva GardenaQuarter-finalHardThu 29 Oct · 13:30

Wojciech MarekPOL56%

VSToss-up

M. Plunger(5)ATP #737 · ITA44%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up

56%44%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Marek W.4.0/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Plunger M.4.8/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Recent runLost last 6Informative

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 591

Hard ELO1 572

Last 107–3

Age25

Height191 cm

PlaysRight

ELO1 576

Hard ELO1 529

Last 107–3

Age24

Height185 cm

PlaysRight

Wojciech Marek faces M. Plunger in the M15 Selva Gardena quarter-final on hard.

Key context

Last match: M. Plunger dropped the opening set before beating D. A. Amarandei 2–6 6–2 6–0.
Last match: Wojciech Marek handed Federico Arnaboldi a third-set bagel in a 6–4 3–6 6–0 win.
Fatigue load: Wojciech Marek carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Marek W.Plunger M.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss7–37–3

Season win rate71% (17–7)64% (14–8)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO15911576

Hard-court ELO15721529

Serve vs returnLast 15 vs 20 matches

1st-serve points won70%66%

Return points won41%43%

Aces / match3.62.1

ClutchLast 15 vs 20 matches

Break points saved55%63%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

13:30 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast9°C · Mainly clear

Wind4 km/h

Humidity68%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Wojciech Marek vs M. Plunger — M15 Selva Gardena Quarter-final", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-29/marek-vs-plunger-m15-selva-gardena-qf?utm_source=cite (as of 29 October 2026).