Veronika Podrez vs Manon Leonard | W75 Poitiers Round of 16

UMPIRY

W75 PoitiersR16HardThu 29 Oct · 11:10

Veronika Podrez(1)WTA #136 · UKR74%

VSClear favourite · Podrez V.

Manon LeonardWTA #344 · FRA26%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Podrez V.

74%26%

Clear edge for Podrez V. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Podrez V.6.5/10

Marginal edge

Leonard M.3.0/10

Heavy underdog

Why

Surface+199 Hard Elo edgeSupports Podrez V.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1620Supports Podrez V.

Recent runLost last 5Informative

Head-to-headLeads 2–1 on hardSupports Podrez V.

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 743

Hard ELO1 664

Last 107–3

Age19

EarningsCareer $182K2026 $123K

ELO1 654

Hard ELO1 650

Last 108–2

Age25

EarningsCareer $378K2026 $75K

Veronika Podrez faces Manon Leonard in the W75 Poitiers round of 16 on hard. Veronika Podrez holds the paper edge — ranked #136, leading the head-to-head 2–1, a roughly 200-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Last match: Veronika Podrez dropped just 5 games past Jana Otzipka.
Last match: Manon Leonard dropped just 4 games past Amandine Hesse.
Head-to-head: Veronika Podrez leads the head-to-head 2–1. Last met at W50 Corroios-Seixal 2026.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

3 meetings · Podrez V. leads 2–1

Podrez V.July 2026W50 Corroios-SeixalHard7-5 6-4
Podrez V.February 2026W75 Andrézieux-BouthéonHard6-7 6-4 7-6
Leonard M.October 2024W35 Reims 1Hard1-6 6-3 7-5

Evidence

Podrez V.Leonard M.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss7–38–2

Season win rate67% (40–20)48% (23–25)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO17431654

Hard-court ELO16641650

Serve vs returnLast 58 vs 47 matches

1st-serve points won65%60%

Return points won48%45%

Aces / match2.51.9

ClutchLast 58 vs 47 matches

Break points saved56%54%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:10 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast10°C · Overcast

Wind13 km/h

Humidity74%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Veronika Podrez vs Manon Leonard — W75 Poitiers Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-29/leonard-vs-podrez-w75-poitiers-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 29 October 2026).