Martyna Kubka vs Lisa Pigato | Preview, H2H & Win Probability

UMPIRY

Valle D'Aosta Ladies Open - CourmayeurR16HardThu 29 Oct · 19:30 UTCCentre court · After 2 matches

Martyna KubkaWTA #148 · POL58%

VSSlight edge · Kubka M.

Lisa Pigato(5)WTA #102 · ITA42%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Kubka M.

58%42%

Kubka M. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Kubka M.6.2/10

Even match

Pigato L.5.6/10

Slight disadvantage

Why

Surface+9 Hard Elo edgeSupports Kubka M.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1600Informative

Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Pigato L.

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 737

Hard ELO1 682

Last 106–4

Age25

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $269K2026 $121K

ELO1 736

Hard ELO1 564

Last 109–1

Age23

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $298K2026 $138K

Martyna Kubka faces Lisa Pigato in the Valle D'Aosta Ladies Open - Courmayeur round of 16 on hard. Lisa Pigato holds the paper edge — ranked #102.

Key context

Freshness: Martyna Kubka comes in with 1 days of rest and 87 games in 14d, vs Lisa Pigato's 14 and 13.
Form trend: Form trajectories diverge: Lisa Pigato rising, Martyna Kubka cooling.
Last match: Lisa Pigato handed Robin Montgomery a first-set bagel in a 6–0 7–6 win.

Common opponents

1 shared · last 12 months

Kubka M. and Pigato L. faced 1 of the same opponent in the last 12 months. Kubka M. went 1–0 (100%) against them, Pigato L. 1–0 (100%).

1–0100%Kubka M. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents1–0100%Pigato L. · better vs 0

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

2–0Sets2–0

12–5Games12–4

Only 1 common opponent — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

vs Bassols Ribera M.#125W6-3 6-2US Open · hardW6-4 6-0Madrid 125 · clay

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Kubka M.Pigato L.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss6–49–1

Season win rate70% (43–18)73% (45–17)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO17371736

Hard-court ELO16821564

Serve vs returnLast 59 vs 62 matches

1st-serve points won68%61%

Return points won44%49%

Aces / match5.00.8

ClutchLast 59 vs 62 matches

Break points saved58%55%

When it starts

Centre court · After 2 matches · Not before 8:30 PM

1Bassols Ribera M. v Andreeva E.Starting at 2:00 PM
2Blinkova A. v Zavatska K.Followed by
3This match: Kubka M. v Pigato L.This match

Draw

Odds

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Kubka M.Pigato L.

1Days since last match14

1Matches · 7 days0

22Games · 7 days0

4Matches · 14 days1

87Games · 14 days13

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Martyna Kubka vs Lisa Pigato — Valle D'Aosta Ladies Open - Courmayeur Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-29/kubka-vs-pigato-valle-d-aosta-ladies-open-courmayeur-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 29 October 2026).