Kazuki Nakajima vs P. Karthik | M15 Singapore Round of 16

UMPIRY

M15 SingaporeR16HardThu 29 Oct · 14:00

Kazuki NakajimaJPN49%

VSToss-up

P. KarthikIND51%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up

49%51%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Nakajima K.4.7/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Karthik P.5.0/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

What we know

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 497

Hard ELO1 497

Last 105–5

Age15

ELO1 491

Hard ELO1 498

Last 107–3

Age21

Kazuki Nakajima faces P. Karthik in the M15 Singapore round of 16 on hard. P. Karthik brings the better recent hard form (7 of 10).

Key context

Last match: Kazuki Nakajima handed Maximus Zavier Wong a first-set bagel in a 6–0 6–3 win.
Fatigue load: Both played two three-setters in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.
Surface form: Kazuki Nakajima 5 of 10, P. Karthik 7 of 10 on hard recently — P. Karthik the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Nakajima K.Karthik P.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss5–57–3

Season win rate53% (9–8)48% (11–12)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO14971491

Hard-court ELO14971498

Serve vs returnLast 7 vs 17 matches

1st-serve points won59%66%

Return points won39%40%

Aces / match0.72.4

ClutchLast 7 vs 17 matches

Break points saved49%62%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

14:00 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast26°C · Showers

Wind3 km/h

Humidity93%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Kazuki Nakajima vs P. Karthik — M15 Singapore Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-29/karthik-vs-nakajima-m15-singapore-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 29 October 2026).