UMPIRY
EN

Julia Riera vs Yasmine Kabbaj — Curitiba Open - Curitiba Round of 16

Curitiba Open - CuritibaR16ClayThu 29 Oct · 12:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Riera J.
64%36%

Riera J. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Riera J.6.6/10
Marginal edge
Kabbaj Y.5.9/10
Even match
Why
Surface+120 Clay Elo edgeSupports Riera J.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1563Supports Riera J.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Kabbaj Y.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 743
Clay ELO1 725
Last 105–5
Age24
EarningsCareer $989K2026 $187K
ELO1 651
Clay ELO1 640
Last 106–4
Age22
EarningsCareer $95K2026 $41K

Julia Riera faces Yasmine Kabbaj in the Curitiba Open - Curitiba round of 16 on clay. Julia Riera holds the paper edge — ranked #140, a roughly 120-point clay Elo advantage.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Riera J.Kabbaj Y.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–56–4 (ahead)
Season win rate64% (35–20) (ahead)52% (28–26)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1743 (ahead)1651
Clay-court ELO1725 (ahead)1640
Serve vs returnLast 55 vs 49 matches
1st-serve points won63% (ahead)56%
Return points won47% (ahead)46%
Aces / match2.3 (ahead)0.6
ClutchLast 55 vs 49 matches
Break points saved55% (ahead)54%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

12:00 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast20°C · Overcast
Wind6 km/h
Humidity65%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Riera J.Kabbaj Y.
1Days since last match1
1Matches · 7 days1
24Games · 7 days15 — fresher
1Matches · 14 days1
24Games · 14 days15 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Julia Riera vs Yasmine Kabbaj — Curitiba Open - Curitiba Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-29/kabbaj-vs-riera-curitiba-open-curitiba-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 29 October 2026).