Sara Husar vs Kayo Nishimura | W15 Monastir Round of 16

UMPIRY

W15 MonastirR16HardThu 29 Oct · 09:30

Sara HusarPOL20%

VSStrong favourite · Nishimura K.

Kayo Nishimura(2)WTA #537 · JPN80%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Nishimura K.

20%80%

Clear edge for Nishimura K. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 5 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Husar S.4.9/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Nishimura K.5.1/10

Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

What we know

Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardSupports Nishimura K.

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 504

Hard ELO1 502

Last 107–3

Age18

ELO1 616

Hard ELO1 608

Last 108–2

Age20

Sara Husar faces Kayo Nishimura in the W15 Monastir round of 16 on hard. Kayo Nishimura holds the paper edge — leading the head-to-head 1–0.

Key context

Last match: Sara Husar dropped just 5 games past Yana Kim.
Last match: Kayo Nishimura dropped just 5 games past Anastasia Lizunova.
Fatigue load: Kayo Nishimura carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Nishimura K. leads 1–0

Nishimura K.October 2026W35 MonastirHard5-7 1-6

Evidence

Husar S.Nishimura K.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss7–38–2

Season win rate59% (10–7)54% (19–16)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO15041616

Hard-court ELO15021608

Serve vs returnLast 11 vs 28 matches

1st-serve points won61%56%

Return points won44%47%

Aces / match2.10.5

ClutchLast 11 vs 28 matches

Break points saved45%50%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

09:30 local

SurfaceHard · slow

Forecast21°C · Overcast

Wind5 km/h

Humidity76%

Court pace slow: low bounce, long rallies.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Sara Husar vs Kayo Nishimura — W15 Monastir Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-29/husar-vs-nishimura-w15-monastir-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 29 October 2026).