Alibek Kachmazov vs Seong Chan Hong

UMPIRY

SeoulR16HardThu 29 Oct · ~12:30CENTRE COURT · After 1 match

Alibek KachmazovATP #360 · RUS65%

VSSlight edge · Kachmazov A.

Seong Chan HongKOR35%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Kachmazov A.

65%35%

Kachmazov A. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Kachmazov A.6.9/10

Slight advantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Hong S.5.5/10

Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form9 of last 10 on hardSupports Kachmazov A.

Recent run3-match win streakSupports Kachmazov A.

Head-to-headLeads 2–0 on hardSupports Kachmazov A.

Long matches2 three-setters in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Hong S.

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 735

Hard ELO1 685

Last 109–1

Age24

Height185 cm

PlaysRight

ELO1 746

Hard ELO1 693

Last 106–4

Age29

Height175 cm

PlaysRight

Alibek Kachmazov faces Seong Chan Hong in the Seoul round of 16 on hard. Alibek Kachmazov holds the paper edge — leading the head-to-head 2–0.

Key context

Freshness: Alibek Kachmazov comes in with 1 days of rest and 67 games in 14d, vs Seong Chan Hong's 1 and 19.
Last match: Alibek Kachmazov dropped just 4 games past Rio Noguchi.
Head-to-head: Alibek Kachmazov leads the head-to-head 2–0. Last met at Chengdu 2024.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

2 meetings · Kachmazov A. leads 2–0

Kachmazov A.September 2024ChengduHard6-4 6-1
Kachmazov A.May 2024Wuxi CHHard6-1 2-6 7-6

Evidence

Kachmazov A.Hong S.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss9–16–4

Season win rate75% (21–7)55% (6–5)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO17351746

Hard-court ELO16851693

Serve vs returnLast 26 vs 10 matches

1st-serve points won76%69%

Return points won41%40%

Aces / match9.15.0

ClutchLast 26 vs 10 matches

Break points saved66%61%

When it starts

CENTRE COURT · After 1 match · Followed by

1Atmane T. v Daniel T.Starts at 11:00 AM
2This match: Kachmazov A. v Hong S.This match

Draw

Odds

Conditions

CENTRE COURT · ~12:30 local

SurfaceHard · medium-slow

Forecast10°C · Overcast

Wind5 km/h

Humidity45%

Court pace medium-slow: favours grinders.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Kachmazov A.Hong S.

1Days since last match1

3Matches · 7 days1

67Games · 7 days19

3Matches · 14 days1

67Games · 14 days19

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Alibek Kachmazov vs Seong Chan Hong — Seoul Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-29/hong-vs-kachmazov-seoul-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 29 October 2026).