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H. Kawanishi vs Shinji Hazawa — M15 Yanagawa City Round of 16

M15 Yanagawa CityR16HardThu 29 Oct · 11:00
H. KawanishiJPN32%
VSClear favourite · Hazawa S.
Shinji Hazawa(2)ATP #707 · JPN68%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Hazawa S.
32%68%

Clear edge for Hazawa S. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Kawanishi H.5.0/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Hazawa S.4.3/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form4 of last 10 on hardInformative
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 501
Hard ELO1 500
Last 103–4
Age17
ELO1 578
Hard ELO1 558
Last 105–5
Age27

H. Kawanishi faces Shinji Hazawa in the M15 Yanagawa City round of 16 on hard. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Last match: H. Kawanishi dropped just 5 games past Hayato Takamura.
  • Fatigue load: Shinji Hazawa carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Both 3 of 6 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Kawanishi H.Hazawa S.
FormLast 7 vs 10 matches · 2026
Win–loss3–45–5 (ahead)
Season win rate60% (3–2) (ahead)45% (10–12)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15011578 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO15001558 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 4 vs 15 matches
1st-serve points won65%70% (ahead)
Return points won46% (ahead)41%
Aces / match2.53.5 (ahead)
ClutchLast 4 vs 15 matches
Break points saved55%65% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast19°C · Mainly clear
Wind7 km/h
Humidity60%

Cite this

Umpiry, "H. Kawanishi vs Shinji Hazawa — M15 Yanagawa City Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-29/hazawa-vs-kawanishi-m15-yanagawa-city-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 29 October 2026).