UMPIRY
EN

J. Fellows vs S. Massellani — M15 Selva Gardena Quarter-final

M15 Selva GardenaQuarter-finalHardThu 29 Oct · 12:00
J. FellowsUSA56%
VSToss-up
S. MassellaniITA44%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
56%44%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Fellows J.4.5/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Massellani S.4.8/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
What we know
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 541
Hard ELO1 538
Last 107–3
Age24
ELO1 510
Hard ELO1 511
Last 104–4
Age18

J. Fellows faces S. Massellani in the M15 Selva Gardena quarter-final on hard. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Last match: S. Massellani dropped just 6 games past Kacper Knitter.
  • Fatigue load: S. Massellani carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Both 4 of 6 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Fellows J.Massellani S.
FormLast 10 vs 8 matches · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)4–4
Season win rate74% (20–7) (ahead)50% (4–4)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1541 (ahead)1510
Hard-court ELO1538 (ahead)1511
Serve vs returnLast 17 vs 7 matches
1st-serve points won70% (ahead)64%
Return points won41%43% (ahead)
Aces / match2.8 (ahead)0.6
ClutchLast 17 vs 7 matches
Break points saved54%58% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

12:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast8°C · Mainly clear
Wind4 km/h
Humidity67%

Cite this

Umpiry, "J. Fellows vs S. Massellani — M15 Selva Gardena Quarter-final", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-29/fellows-vs-massellani-m15-selva-gardena-qf?utm_source=cite (as of 29 October 2026).