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Adhithya Ganesan vs Alexander Watanabe Eriksson — M15 Singapore Round of 16

M15 SingaporeR16HardThu 29 Oct · 12:30
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Ganesan A.
71%29%

Clear edge for Ganesan A. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Ganesan A.4.2/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Watanabe Eriksson A.4.7/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form3 of last 10 on hardInformative
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 552
Hard ELO1 530
Last 104–6
Age21
ELO1 485
Hard ELO1 499
Last 106–4
Age23

Adhithya Ganesan faces Alexander Watanabe Eriksson in the M15 Singapore round of 16 on hard. Alexander Watanabe Eriksson brings the better recent hard form (6 of 10).

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Ganesan A.Watanabe Eriksson A.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–66–4 (ahead)
Season win rate41% (7–10)58% (11–8) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1552 (ahead)1485
Hard-court ELO1530 (ahead)1499
Serve vs returnLast 17 vs 11 matches
1st-serve points won65% (ahead)64%
Return points won38%39% (ahead)
Aces / match4.4 (ahead)3.8
ClutchLast 17 vs 11 matches
Break points saved61% (ahead)57%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

12:30 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast26°C · Showers
Wind8 km/h
Humidity88%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Adhithya Ganesan vs Alexander Watanabe Eriksson — M15 Singapore Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-29/eriksson-vs-ganesan-m15-singapore-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 29 October 2026).