UMPIRY
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R. Jones vs Viktor Durasovic — M25 Sheffield Quarter-final

M25 SheffieldQuarter-finalHardThu 29 Oct · 10:30
R. JonesGBR34%
VSSlight edge · Durasovic V.
Viktor Durasovic(8)ATP #485 · NOR66%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Durasovic V.
34%66%

Durasovic V. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Jones R.4.5/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Durasovic V.4.9/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form5 of last 10 on hardInformative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 552
Hard ELO1 553
Last 106–4
Age23
ELO1 638
Hard ELO1 594
Last 107–3
Age29

R. Jones faces Viktor Durasovic in the M25 Sheffield quarter-final on hard. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: R. Jones carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: R. Jones 6 of 10, Viktor Durasovic 7 of 10 on hard recently — Viktor Durasovic the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Jones R.Durasovic V.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–47–3 (ahead)
Season win rate68% (19–9) (ahead)47% (22–25)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15521638 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO15531594 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 18 vs 38 matches
1st-serve points won69%70% (ahead)
Return points won41% (ahead)38%
Aces / match3.46.3 (ahead)
ClutchLast 18 vs 38 matches
Break points saved69% (ahead)55%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:30 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast12°C · Mainly clear
Wind4 km/h
Humidity82%

Cite this

Umpiry, "R. Jones vs Viktor Durasovic — M25 Sheffield Quarter-final", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-29/durasovic-vs-jones-m25-sheffield-qf?utm_source=cite (as of 29 October 2026).