Marie Vogt vs Nahjime Dho | W15 Monastir Round of 16

UMPIRY

W15 MonastirR16HardThu 29 Oct · 11:00

Marie Vogt(1)WTA #453 · GER86%

VSStrong favourite · Vogt M.

Nahjime DhoFRA14%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Vogt M.

86%14%

Clear edge for Vogt M. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 7 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Vogt M.5.0/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Dho N.4.7/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Recent runLost last 2Informative

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 650

Hard ELO1 553

Last 106–4

Age21

ELO1 497

Hard ELO1 498

Last 104–6

Age20

Marie Vogt faces Nahjime Dho in the W15 Monastir round of 16 on hard. Marie Vogt brings the better recent hard form (6 of 8).

Key context

Form trend: Nahjime Dho's form has been trending up over recent weeks, while Marie Vogt's has cooled.
Last match: Nahjime Dho dropped the opening set before beating Ada Gergec 3–6 7–5 6–2.
Last match: Marie Vogt dropped just 5 games past Yui Watanabe.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Vogt M.Dho N.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss6–44–6

Season win rate69% (31–14)40% (4–6)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO16501497

Hard-court ELO15531498

Serve vs returnLast 45 vs 7 matches

1st-serve points won63%57%

Return points won47%45%

Aces / match2.60.0

ClutchLast 45 vs 7 matches

Break points saved53%34%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local

SurfaceHard · slow

Forecast22°C · Overcast

Wind9 km/h

Humidity69%

Court pace slow: low bounce, long rallies.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Marie Vogt vs Nahjime Dho — W15 Monastir Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-29/dho-vs-vogt-w15-monastir-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 29 October 2026).