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Jenna Defalco vs Ashley Lahey — W35 Norman Round of 16

W35 NormanR16HardThu 29 Oct · 12:00
Jenna DefalcoWTA #831 · USA37%
VSSlight edge · Lahey A.
Ashley LaheyWTA #825 · USA63%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Lahey A.
37%63%

Lahey A. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Defalco J.4.9/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Lahey A.4.9/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form1 of last 6 on hardInformative
CountryWon 54% in USA (79)Supports Lahey A.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 591
Hard ELO1 574
Last 107–3
Age23
EarningsCareer $58K2026 $7K
ELO1 634
Hard ELO1 568
Last 104–6
Age27
EarningsCareer $103K2026 $7K

Jenna Defalco faces Ashley Lahey in the W35 Norman round of 16 on hard. Ashley Lahey is the paper favourite — ranked #825 — but Jenna Defalco arrives in form, winning 6 of their last 9 on hard to Ashley Lahey's 4 of 9.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Defalco J.Lahey A.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)4–6
Season win rate46% (16–19)58% (14–10) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15911634 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO1574 (ahead)1568
Serve vs returnLast 27 vs 23 matches
1st-serve points won58%66% (ahead)
Return points won46% (ahead)44%
Aces / match1.32.3 (ahead)
ClutchLast 27 vs 23 matches
Break points saved51%59% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

12:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast26°C · Overcast
Wind16 km/h
Humidity61%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Jenna Defalco vs Ashley Lahey — W35 Norman Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-29/defalco-vs-lahey-w35-norman-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 29 October 2026).