Kayla Cross vs Carson Tanguilig | W75 Toronto Round of 16

UMPIRY

W75 TorontoR16HardThu 29 Oct · 11:00

Kayla Cross(1)WTA #189 · CAN67%

VSClear favourite · Cross K.

Carson TanguiligWTA #536 · USA33%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Cross K.

67%33%

Clear edge for Cross K. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Cross K.4.1/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Tanguilig C.4.3/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form3 of last 10 on hardInformative

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 641

Hard ELO1 613

Last 104–6

Age21

EarningsCareer $381K2026 $172K

ELO1 584

Hard ELO1 528

Last 106–4

Age23

EarningsCareer $33K2026 $15K

Kayla Cross faces Carson Tanguilig in the W75 Toronto round of 16 on hard. Kayla Cross is the paper favourite — ranked #189 — but Carson Tanguilig arrives in form, winning 6 of their last 10 on hard to Kayla Cross's 4 of 10.

Key context

Last match: Carson Tanguilig dropped the opening set before beating Jule Niemeier 6–7 6–1 6–2.
Last match: Kayla Cross dropped just 5 games past Linea Bajraliu.
Fatigue load: Carson Tanguilig carries the heavier recent load — 4 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Cross K.Tanguilig C.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss4–66–4

Season win rate54% (22–19)68% (23–11)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO16411584

Hard-court ELO16131528

Serve vs returnLast 31 vs 30 matches

1st-serve points won62%61%

Return points won44%47%

Aces / match3.01.7

ClutchLast 31 vs 30 matches

Break points saved54%56%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local

SurfaceHard · fast

Forecast14°C · Mainly clear

Wind13 km/h

Humidity86%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Kayla Cross vs Carson Tanguilig — W75 Toronto Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-29/cross-vs-tanguilig-w75-toronto-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 29 October 2026).