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Adla Lopez vs Emery Combs — W15 Sumter Round of 16

W15 SumterR16ClayThu 29 Oct · 10:00
Adla LopezUSA27%
VSClear favourite · Combs E.
Emery CombsUSA73%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Combs E.
27%73%

Clear edge for Combs E. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Lopez A.5.0/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Combs E.6.0/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
What we know
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 500
Clay ELO1 500
Last 102–2
Age18
ELO1 511
Clay ELO1 513
Last 106–4
Age56

Adla Lopez faces Emery Combs in the W15 Sumter round of 16 on clay. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Last match: Emery Combs dropped the opening set before beating Stefani Webb 1–6 6–3 6–2.
  • Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.
  • Surface form: Both 2 of 4 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Lopez A.Combs E.
FormLast 4 vs 10 matches · 2026
Win–loss2–26–4 (ahead)
Season win rate100% (1–0) (ahead)67% (8–4)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15001511 (ahead)
Clay-court ELO15001513 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 1 vs 8 matches
1st-serve points won53%68% (ahead)
Return points won58% (ahead)46%
Aces / match1.02.9 (ahead)
ClutchLast 1 vs 8 matches
Break points saved63% (ahead)51%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceClay · medium-slow
Forecast24°C · Mainly clear
Wind19 km/h
Humidity86%

Court pace medium-slow: favours grinders.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Adla Lopez vs Emery Combs — W15 Sumter Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-29/combs-vs-lopez-w15-sumter-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 29 October 2026).