UMPIRY
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Giovanni Ciocca vs Lilian Marmousez — M15 Monastir Round of 16

M15 MonastirR16HardThu 29 Oct · 11:00
Giovanni CioccaITA10%
VSStrong favourite · Marmousez L.
Lilian Marmousez(4)ATP #520 · FRA90%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Marmousez L.
10%90%

Clear edge for Marmousez L. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 10 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Ciocca G.4.5/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Marmousez L.4.7/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form5 of last 10 on hardInformative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 512
Hard ELO1 510
Last 107–3
Age20
ELO1 747
Hard ELO1 582
Last 107–3
Age24

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Ciocca G.Marmousez L.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–37–3
Season win rate52% (13–12)65% (17–9) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15121747 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO15101582 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 11 vs 25 matches
1st-serve points won56%71% (ahead)
Return points won37%42% (ahead)
Aces / match1.02.1 (ahead)
ClutchLast 11 vs 25 matches
Break points saved53%60% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast22°C · Overcast
Wind9 km/h
Humidity68%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Giovanni Ciocca vs Lilian Marmousez — M15 Monastir Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-29/ciocca-vs-marmousez-m15-monastir-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 29 October 2026).