Tuncay Duran vs Mahmoud Chetouane | M15 Monastir Round of 16

UMPIRY

M15 MonastirR16HardThu 29 Oct · 11:00

Tuncay Duran(5)ATP #545 · TUR86%

VSStrong favourite · Duran T.

Mahmoud ChetouaneTUN14%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Duran T.

86%14%

Clear edge for Duran T. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 7 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Duran T.5.0/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Chetouane M.4.5/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form7 of last 10 on hardInformative

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 677

Hard ELO1 664

Last 108–2

Age22

PlaysRight

ELO1 485

Hard ELO1 485

Last 103–7

Age18

PlaysRight

Tuncay Duran faces Mahmoud Chetouane in the M15 Monastir round of 16 on hard. Tuncay Duran brings the better recent hard form (8 of 9).

Key context

Surface form: Tuncay Duran 8 of 9, Mahmoud Chetouane 3 of 9 on hard recently — Tuncay Duran the sharper of late.
Fatigue load: Mahmoud Chetouane carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Duran T.Chetouane M.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss8–23–7

Season win rate74% (23–8)38% (3–5)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO16771485

Hard-court ELO16641485

Serve vs returnLast 20 vs 6 matches

1st-serve points won75%65%

Return points won41%33%

Aces / match5.23.8

ClutchLast 20 vs 6 matches

Break points saved63%57%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast22°C · Overcast

Wind9 km/h

Humidity69%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Tuncay Duran vs Mahmoud Chetouane — M15 Monastir Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-29/chetouane-vs-duran-m15-monastir-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 29 October 2026).