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Meng Yi Chen vs Junhan Zhang — W35 Kunshan Round of 16

W35 KunshanR16HardThu 29 Oct · 10:30
Meng Yi ChenCHN35%
VSSlight edge · Zhang J.
Junhan ZhangWTA #565 · CHN65%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Zhang J.
35%65%

Zhang J. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Chen M.5.6/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Zhang J.4.4/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardAgainst the prediction · Chen M.
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 545
Hard ELO1 541
Last 105–5
Age23
EarningsCareer $40K2026 $8K
ELO1 595
Hard ELO1 583
Last 107–3
Age19
EarningsCareer $25K2026 $12K

Meng Yi Chen faces Junhan Zhang in the W35 Kunshan round of 16 on hard. Meng Yi Chen is the paper favourite — leading the head-to-head 1–0 — but Junhan Zhang arrives in form, winning 7 of their last 10 on hard to Meng Yi Chen's 5 of 10.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Chen M. leads 1–0
10

Evidence

Chen M.Zhang J.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–57–3 (ahead)
Season win rate45% (15–18)58% (36–26) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15451595 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO15411583 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 30 vs 52 matches
1st-serve points won53%64% (ahead)
Return points won47% (ahead)45%
Aces / match0.22.9 (ahead)
ClutchLast 30 vs 52 matches
Break points saved49%57% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:30 local
SurfaceHard · fast
Forecast21°C · Mainly clear
Wind12 km/h
Humidity67%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Meng Yi Chen vs Junhan Zhang — W35 Kunshan Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-29/chen-vs-zhang-w35-kunshan-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 29 October 2026).