P. H. Chabalgoity vs Tomas Martinez

UMPIRY

M15 Joao PessoaR16ClayThu 29 Oct · 17:00

P. H. ChabalgoityBRA25%

VSClear favourite · Martinez T.

Tomas Martinez(6)ATP #791 · ARG75%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Martinez T.

25%75%

Clear edge for Martinez T. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Chabalgoity P.4.9/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Martinez T.5.6/10

Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form5 of last 10 on clayInformative

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 492

Clay ELO1 496

Last 103–7

Age56

ELO1 558

Clay ELO1 552

Last 105–5

Age23

P. H. Chabalgoity faces Tomas Martinez in the M15 Joao Pessoa round of 16 on clay. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Key context

Last match: Tomas Martinez dropped the opening set before beating Rafael Tosetto 2–6 6–2 6–3.
Last match: P. H. Chabalgoity dropped just 6 games past Lorenzo Gagliardo.
Fatigue load: Tomas Martinez carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Chabalgoity P.Martinez T.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss3–75–5

Season win rate43% (3–4)47% (14–16)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO14921558

Clay-court ELO14961552

Serve vs returnLast 5 vs 30 matches

1st-serve points won63%63%

Return points won43%43%

Aces / match0.61.2

ClutchLast 5 vs 30 matches

Break points saved67%48%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

17:00 local

SurfaceClay

Forecast28°C · Mainly clear

Wind15 km/h

Humidity68%

Cite this

Umpiry, "P. H. Chabalgoity vs Tomas Martinez — M15 Joao Pessoa Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-29/chabalgoity-vs-martinez-m15-joao-pessoa-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 29 October 2026).