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Tomas Barrios Vera vs Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo — Guayaquil Round of 16

GuayaquilR16ClayThu 29 Oct · 11:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
46%54%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Barrios Vera T.7.3/10
Strong advantage
Aguilar Cardozo J.4.2/10
Heavy underdog
Why
Surface+304 Clay Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Barrios Vera T.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1615Against the prediction · Barrios Vera T.
Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on clayAgainst the prediction · Barrios Vera T.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Aguilar Cardozo J.
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 797
Clay ELO1 706
Last 106–4
Age28
Height191 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $1.7M2026 $300K
ELO1 715
Clay ELO1 706
Last 107–3
Age21
Height168 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $58K2026 $15K

Tomas Barrios Vera faces Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo in the Guayaquil round of 16 on clay. Tomas Barrios Vera holds the paper edge — ranked #156, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 300-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Barrios Vera T. leads 1–0
10

Evidence

Barrios Vera T.Aguilar Cardozo J.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–47–3 (ahead)
Season win rate50% (29–29)75% (41–14) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1797 (ahead)1715
Clay-court ELO17061706
Serve vs returnLast 47 vs 48 matches
1st-serve points won66% (ahead)65%
Return points won39%48% (ahead)
Aces / match2.8 (ahead)0.8
ClutchLast 47 vs 48 matches
Break points saved62% (ahead)59%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local
SurfaceClay · medium
Forecast30°C · Partly cloudy
Wind4 km/h
Humidity69%

Court pace medium: balanced pace.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Barrios Vera T.Aguilar Cardozo J.
1Days since last match16 — fresher
1Matches · 7 days0 — fresher
21Games · 7 days0 — fresher
2Matches · 14 days0 — fresher
52Games · 14 days0 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Tomas Barrios Vera vs Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo — Guayaquil Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-29/cardozo-vs-vera-guayaquil-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 29 October 2026).