Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano — Guayaquil Round of 16
Why
Surface+519 Clay Elo edgeSupports Ugo Carabelli C.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1759Supports Ugo Carabelli C.
Recent run3-match win streakAgainst the prediction · Hernandez Serrano J.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Ugo Carabelli C.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 833
Clay ELO1 812
Last 103–7
Age27
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
ELO1 550
Clay ELO1 513
Last 106–4
Age27
Height175 cm
PlaysRight
Camilo Ugo Carabelli faces Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano in the Guayaquil round of 16 on clay. Camilo Ugo Carabelli is the paper favourite — ranked #75, a roughly 520-point clay Elo advantage — but Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano rides a 3-match win streak.
Key context
- Freshness: Camilo Ugo Carabelli comes in with 1 days of rest and 20 games in 14d, vs Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano's 2 and 94.
- Form trend: Form trajectories diverge: Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano rising, Camilo Ugo Carabelli cooling.
- Win streak: Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano arrives on a 3-match winning run.
Common opponents
0 shared · last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.
Head-to-head
They have not met before.
Evidence
Ugo Carabelli C.Hernandez Serrano J.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss3–76–4 (ahead)
Season win rate49% (23–24) (ahead)45% (10–12)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1833 (ahead)1550
Clay-court ELO1812 (ahead)1513
Serve vs returnLast 47 vs 21 matches
1st-serve points won69% (ahead)66%
Return points won37%40% (ahead)
Aces / match3.8 (ahead)1.8
ClutchLast 47 vs 21 matches
Break points saved58%59% (ahead)
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano — Guayaquil Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-29/carabelli-vs-serrano-guayaquil-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 29 October 2026).