Gonzalo Bueno vs Carlos Maria Zarate — Guayaquil Round of 16
Why
Surface+282 Clay Elo edgeSupports Bueno G.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1491Supports Bueno G.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Zarate C.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 728
Clay ELO1 698
Last 104–6
Age22
EarningsCareer $408K2026 $192K
ELO1 631
Clay ELO1 610
Last 106–4
Age21
EarningsCareer $47K2026 $24K
Gonzalo Bueno faces Carlos Maria Zarate in the Guayaquil round of 16 on clay. Gonzalo Bueno holds the paper edge — ranked #197, a roughly 280-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Key context
- Freshness: Gonzalo Bueno comes in with 1 days of rest and 78 games in 14d, vs Carlos Maria Zarate's 5 and 113.
- Surface form: Both 4 of 8 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.
Common opponents
0 shared · last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.
Head-to-head
They have not met before.
Evidence
Bueno G.Zarate C.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–66–4 (ahead)
Season win rate54% (34–29)63% (33–19) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1728 (ahead)1631
Clay-court ELO1698 (ahead)1610
Serve vs returnLast 60 vs 44 matches
1st-serve points won63%70% (ahead)
Return points won42%42%
Aces / match1.13.0 (ahead)
ClutchLast 60 vs 44 matches
Break points saved58%60% (ahead)
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Gonzalo Bueno vs Carlos Maria Zarate — Guayaquil Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-29/bueno-vs-zarate-guayaquil-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 29 October 2026).