UMPIRY
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Nicolas Bruna vs Bastian Malla — M15 Joao Pessoa Round of 16

M15 Joao PessoaR16ClayThu 29 Oct · 11:30
Nicolas BrunaCHI18%
VSStrong favourite · Malla B.
Bastian Malla(8)ATP #813 · CHI82%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Malla B.
18%82%

Clear edge for Malla B. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 6 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Bruna N.4.4/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Malla B.3.9/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form2 of last 10 on claySupports Malla B.
Recent runLost last 16Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 514
Clay ELO1 510
Last 104–6
Age27
EarningsCareer $47K2026 $6K
ELO1 646
Clay ELO1 635
Last 106–4
Age30
EarningsCareer $102K2026 $7K

Nicolas Bruna faces Bastian Malla in the M15 Joao Pessoa round of 16 on clay. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Bruna N.Malla B.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–66–4 (ahead)
Season win rate33% (8–16)60% (15–10) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15141646 (ahead)
Clay-court ELO15101635 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 20 matches each
1st-serve points won69% (ahead)63%
Return points won38%45% (ahead)
Aces / match3.8 (ahead)0.8
ClutchLast 20 matches each
Break points saved62% (ahead)51%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:30 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast31°C · Clear
Wind16 km/h
Humidity52%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Nicolas Bruna vs Bastian Malla — M15 Joao Pessoa Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-29/bruna-vs-malla-m15-joao-pessoa-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 29 October 2026).