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Gijs Brouwer vs Koray Kirci — M15 Sharm ElSheikh Round of 16

M15 Sharm ElSheikhR16HardThu 29 Oct · 07:00 UTC
Gijs Brouwer(8)ATP #835 · NED82%
VSStrong favourite · Brouwer G.
Koray KirciTUR18%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Brouwer G.
82%18%

Clear edge for Brouwer G. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 6 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Brouwer G.4.5/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Kirci K.3.6/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form4 of last 10 on hardSupports Brouwer G.
Recent runLost last 3Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 682
Hard ELO1 597
Last 103–7
Age30
Height191 cm
PlaysLeft
ELO1 534
Hard ELO1 528
Last 107–3
Age28
Height185 cm
PlaysRight

Gijs Brouwer faces Koray Kirci in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh round of 16 on hard. Koray Kirci brings the better recent hard form (6 of 9).

Key context

  • Last match: Koray Kirci dropped just 3 games past Yi Yuan.
  • Surface form: Gijs Brouwer 3 of 9, Koray Kirci 6 of 9 on hard recently — Koray Kirci the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Brouwer G.Kirci K.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss3–77–3 (ahead)
Season win rate37% (7–12)60% (9–6) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1682 (ahead)1534
Hard-court ELO1597 (ahead)1528
Serve vs returnLast 19 vs 13 matches
1st-serve points won63%64% (ahead)
Return points won37%39% (ahead)
Aces / match1.52.5 (ahead)
ClutchLast 19 vs 13 matches
Break points saved53%55% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Cite this

Umpiry, "Gijs Brouwer vs Koray Kirci — M15 Sharm ElSheikh Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-29/brouwer-vs-kirci-m15-sharm-elsheikh-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 29 October 2026).