Reese Brantmeier vs Clervie Ngounoue | W75 Toronto Round of 16

UMPIRY

W75 TorontoR16HardThu 29 Oct · 11:30

Reese Brantmeier(7)WTA #217 · USA23%

VSClear favourite · Ngounoue C.

Clervie NgounoueWTA #634 · USA77%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Ngounoue C.

23%77%

Clear edge for Ngounoue C. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Brantmeier R.5.1/10

Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Ngounoue C.3.7/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form7 of last 10 on hardAgainst the prediction · Brantmeier R.

Recent runLost last 4Informative

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 576

Hard ELO1 556

Last 109–1

Age22

ELO1 672

Hard ELO1 617

Last 105–5

Age20

Reese Brantmeier faces Clervie Ngounoue in the W75 Toronto round of 16 on hard. Reese Brantmeier holds the paper edge — ranked #217.

Key context

Last match: Reese Brantmeier handed Hina Inoue a second-set bagel in a 7–5 6–0 win.
Surface form: Reese Brantmeier 8 of 9, Clervie Ngounoue 5 of 9 on hard recently — Reese Brantmeier the sharper of late.
Fatigue load: Clervie Ngounoue carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Brantmeier R.Ngounoue C.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss9–15–5

Season win rate74% (17–6)52% (12–11)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO15761672

Hard-court ELO15561617

Serve vs returnLast 21 vs 20 matches

1st-serve points won68%63%

Return points won45%44%

Aces / match4.02.3

ClutchLast 21 vs 20 matches

Break points saved58%53%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:30 local

SurfaceHard · fast

Forecast14°C · Mainly clear

Wind14 km/h

Humidity85%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Reese Brantmeier vs Clervie Ngounoue — W75 Toronto Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-29/brantmeier-vs-ngounoue-w75-toronto-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 29 October 2026).