UMPIRY
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M. Figl vs Lorenzo Bocchi — M15 Selva Gardena Quarter-final

M15 Selva GardenaQuarter-finalHardThu 29 Oct · 13:30
M. FiglITA41%
VSSlight edge · Bocchi L.
Lorenzo Bocchi(2)ATP #613 · ITA59%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Bocchi L.
41%59%

Bocchi L. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Figl M.5.0/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Bocchi L.4.4/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 546
Hard ELO1 480
Last 106–4
Age22
ELO1 590
Hard ELO1 517
Last 105–5
Age28

M. Figl faces Lorenzo Bocchi in the M15 Selva Gardena quarter-final on hard.

Key context

  • Form trend: M. Figl's form has been trending up over recent weeks, while Lorenzo Bocchi's has cooled.
  • Last match: M. Figl won all two sets in tiebreaks against Alex Kobelt.
  • Fatigue load: M. Figl carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Figl M.Bocchi L.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–4 (ahead)5–5
Season win rate48% (12–13)52% (13–12) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15461590 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO14801517 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 21 vs 23 matches
1st-serve points won63%67% (ahead)
Return points won41%42% (ahead)
Aces / match1.32.5 (ahead)
ClutchLast 21 vs 23 matches
Break points saved59%60% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

13:30 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast9°C · Mainly clear
Wind4 km/h
Humidity68%

Cite this

Umpiry, "M. Figl vs Lorenzo Bocchi — M15 Selva Gardena Quarter-final", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-29/bocchi-vs-figl-m15-selva-gardena-qf?utm_source=cite (as of 29 October 2026).