UMPIRY
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Martin Damm vs Ugo Blanchet — Brest Round of 16

BrestR16HardThu 29 Oct · 14:00CENTER COURT · Next on
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Damm M.
64%36%

Damm M. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Damm M.6.3/10
Marginal edge
Blanchet U.5.9/10
Even match
Why
Surface+111 Hard Elo edgeSupports Damm M.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1706Supports Damm M.
Recent run3-match win streakAgainst the prediction · Blanchet U.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Damm M.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 855
Hard ELO1 743
Last 104–6
Age23
Height203 cm
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $1.1M2026 $566K
ELO1 760
Hard ELO1 684
Last 107–3
Age27
Height175 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $993K2026 $122K

Martin Damm faces Ugo Blanchet in the Brest round of 16 on hard. Martin Damm is the paper favourite — ranked #105, a roughly 110-point hard Elo advantage — but Ugo Blanchet arrives in form, winning 7 of their last 9 on hard to Martin Damm's 4 of 9.

Key context

Common opponents

1 shared · last 12 months

Damm M. and Blanchet U. faced 1 of the same opponent in the last 12 months. Damm M. went 1–0 (100%) against them, Blanchet U. 0–1 (0%).

1–0100%Damm M. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents0–10%Blanchet U. · better vs 0
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
2–1Sets0–2
15–16Games9–13
1–0Tiebreaks0–0
1–0Deciding sets0–0

Only 1 common opponent — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Damm M.Blanchet U.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–67–3 (ahead)
Season win rate55% (35–29) (ahead)48% (24–26)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1855 (ahead)1760
Hard-court ELO1743 (ahead)1684
Serve vs returnLast 61 vs 49 matches
1st-serve points won77% (ahead)74%
Return points won32%35% (ahead)
Aces / match12.1 (ahead)5.3
ClutchLast 61 vs 49 matches
Break points saved64%65% (ahead)

When it starts

CENTER COURT · Next on · Followed by

Draw

Odds

Conditions

CENTER COURT · 14:00 local
SurfaceHard · fast
Forecast14°C · Overcast
Wind14 km/h
Humidity66%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Damm M.Blanchet U.
1Days since last match1
2 — fresherMatches · 7 days3
43 — fresherGames · 7 days64
5Matches · 14 days5
116Games · 14 days105 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Martin Damm vs Ugo Blanchet — Brest Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-29/blanchet-vs-damm-brest-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 29 October 2026).