Mitchell Krueger vs Darwin Blanch | Sioux Falls Round of 16

UMPIRY

Sioux FallsR16HardFri 30 Oct · 18:30

Mitchell KruegerATP #351 · USA25%

VSClear favourite · Blanch D.

Darwin Blanch(3)ATP #144 · USA75%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Blanch D.

25%75%

Clear edge for Blanch D. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Krueger M.6.0/10

Even match

Blanch D.6.9/10

Slight advantage

Why

Surface+48 Hard Elo edgeSupports Blanch D.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1551Supports Blanch D.

Head-to-headSplit 1–1 on hardSupports Blanch D.

CountryWon 64% in USA (47)Supports Blanch D.

Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Blanch D.

ELO1 680

Hard ELO1 614

Last 105–5

Age32

Height188 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $2.0M2026 $68K

ELO1 739

Hard ELO1 645

Last 107–3

Age19

Height185 cm

PlaysLeft

EarningsCareer $473K2026 $228K

Mitchell Krueger faces Darwin Blanch in the Sioux Falls round of 16 on hard. Darwin Blanch holds the paper edge — ranked #144, a roughly 50-point hard Elo advantage. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1.

Key context

Freshness: Workload contrast: Mitchell Krueger 41 games in 14 days, Darwin Blanch 114.
Last match: Darwin Blanch dropped just 6 games past Sebastian Gorzny.
Last match: Mitchell Krueger handed Andres Andrade a second-set bagel in a 6–3 6–0 win.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

2 meetings · level 1–1

Blanch D.November 2025Champaign CHHard6-3 7-6
Krueger M.November 2025Knoxville CHHard6-7 6-4 6-1

Evidence

Krueger M.Blanch D.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss5–57–3

Season win rate40% (16–24)54% (34–29)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO16801739

Hard-court ELO16141645

Serve vs returnLast 33 vs 58 matches

1st-serve points won67%74%

Return points won38%37%

Aces / match2.96.3

ClutchLast 33 vs 58 matches

Break points saved56%63%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

18:30 local

SurfaceHard · medium-fast

Forecast12°C · Clear

Wind6 km/h

Humidity83%

Court pace medium-fast: rewards aggression.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Krueger M.Blanch D.

1Days since last match1

1Matches · 7 days5

15Games · 7 days92

2Matches · 14 days6

41Games · 14 days114

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Mitchell Krueger vs Darwin Blanch — Sioux Falls Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-30/blanch-vs-krueger-sioux-falls-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 30 October 2026).