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Oceane Dodin vs Nahia Berecoechea — W75 Poitiers Round of 16

W75 PoitiersR16HardThu 29 Oct · 18:30
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Dodin O.
78%22%

Clear edge for Dodin O. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 5 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Dodin O.5.1/10
Clear underdog
Berecoechea N.3.6/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface+273 Hard Elo edgeSupports Dodin O.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1539Supports Dodin O.
Head-to-headSplit 1–1 on hardAgainst the prediction · Berecoechea N.
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 719
Hard ELO1 659
Last 106–4
Age30
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $3.0M2026 $158K
ELO1 610
Hard ELO1 587
Last 105–5
Age22
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $82K2026 $15K

Oceane Dodin faces Nahia Berecoechea in the W75 Poitiers round of 16 on hard. Oceane Dodin holds the paper edge — ranked #293, a roughly 270-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

2 meetings · level 1–1
11

Evidence

Dodin O.Berecoechea N.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–4 (ahead)5–5
Season win rate53% (26–23) (ahead)50% (16–16)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1719 (ahead)1610
Hard-court ELO1659 (ahead)1587
Serve vs returnLast 44 vs 31 matches
1st-serve points won69% (ahead)59%
Return points won41%48% (ahead)
Aces / match4.2 (ahead)0.5
ClutchLast 44 vs 31 matches
Break points saved50%51% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

18:30 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast13°C · Mainly clear
Wind8 km/h
Humidity66%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Oceane Dodin vs Nahia Berecoechea — W75 Poitiers Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-29/berecoechea-vs-dodin-w75-poitiers-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 29 October 2026).