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Rafael De Alba vs Oswaldo Reyes Tirado — M15 Mazatlan Round of 16

M15 MazatlanR16HardThu 29 Oct · 10:05
Rafael De Alba(8)MEX41%
VSSlight edge · Reyes Tirado O.
Oswaldo Reyes TiradoMEX59%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Reyes Tirado O.
41%59%

Reyes Tirado O. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
De Alba R.4.6/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Reyes Tirado O.6.0/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form0 of last 9 on hardInformative
Recent runLost last 7Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 465
Hard ELO1 475
Last 103–7
Age24
ELO1 489
Hard ELO1 491
Last 104–6
Age19

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

De Alba R.Reyes Tirado O.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss3–74–6 (ahead)
Season win rate21% (4–15)50% (3–3) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO14651489 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO14751491 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 13 vs 4 matches
1st-serve points won62% (ahead)58%
Return points won33%41% (ahead)
Aces / match2.3 (ahead)0.5
ClutchLast 13 vs 4 matches
Break points saved55% (ahead)52%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:05 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast25°C · Thunderstorm
Wind30 km/h
Humidity90%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Rafael De Alba vs Oswaldo Reyes Tirado — M15 Mazatlan Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-29/alba-vs-tirado-m15-mazatlan-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 29 October 2026).