D. Dedura vs Valerio Aboian | Guayaquil Round of 16

UMPIRY

GuayaquilR16ClayThu 29 Oct · 11:00CANCHA RAUL VIVER · Next on

D. Dedura(7)ATP #184 · GER55%

VSToss-up

Valerio AboianATP #283 · ARG45%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up

55%45%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Dedura D.6.3/10

Marginal edgeBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Aboian V.6.2/10

Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form6 of last 10 on clayAgainst the prediction · Aboian V.

Long matches4 three-setters in 14 daysSupports Dedura D.

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 696

Clay ELO1 681

Last 105–5

Age18

ELO1 692

Clay ELO1 675

Last 106–4

Age24

D. Dedura faces Valerio Aboian in the Guayaquil round of 16 on clay. D. Dedura is the paper favourite — ranked #184 — but Valerio Aboian arrives in form, winning 5 of their last 6 on clay to D. Dedura's 4 of 6.

Key context

Freshness: D. Dedura comes in with 2 days of rest and 105 games in 14d, vs Valerio Aboian's 2 and 148.
Last match: D. Dedura edged Genaro Alberto Olivieri in two tight sets (7–5 7–6).
Surface form: D. Dedura 4 of 6, Valerio Aboian 5 of 6 on clay recently — Valerio Aboian the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Dedura D.Aboian V.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss5–56–4

Season win rate61% (33–21)61% (40–26)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO16961692

Clay-court ELO16811675

Serve vs returnLast 53 vs 64 matches

1st-serve points won63%68%

Return points won40%42%

Aces / match0.94.8

ClutchLast 53 vs 64 matches

Break points saved61%58%

When it starts

CANCHA RAUL VIVER · Next on · Starts at 11:00

1This match: Dedura D. v Aboian V.This match

Draw

Odds

Conditions

CANCHA RAUL VIVER · 11:00 local

SurfaceClay · medium

Forecast31°C · Drizzle

Wind3 km/h

Humidity68%

Court pace medium: balanced pace.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Dedura D.Aboian V.

2Days since last match2

2Matches · 7 days5

43Games · 7 days121

5Matches · 14 days6

105Games · 14 days148

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "D. Dedura vs Valerio Aboian — Guayaquil Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-29/aboian-vs-dedura-guayaquil-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 29 October 2026).