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Kian Vakili vs Gray Voelzke — M15 Pembroke Round of 32

M15 PembrokeR32HardWed 28 Oct · 09:30
Kian VakiliUSA73%
VSClear favourite · Vakili K.
Gray VoelzkeUSA27%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Vakili K.
73%27%

Clear edge for Vakili K. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Vakili K.4.9/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Voelzke G.5.1/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Recent runLost last 7Informative
Surface switchClay → HardSupports Vakili K.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 484
Hard ELO1 491
Last 105–5
Age23
ELO1 414
Hard ELO1 452
Last 102–8
Age24

Kian Vakili faces Gray Voelzke in the M15 Pembroke round of 32 on hard. Kian Vakili brings the better recent hard form (2 of 4).

Key context

  • Surface form: Kian Vakili 2 of 4, Gray Voelzke 1 of 4 on hard recently — Kian Vakili the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Kian Vakili carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Vakili K.Voelzke G.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–5 (ahead)2–8
Season win rate57% (4–3) (ahead)16% (3–16)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1484 (ahead)1414
Hard-court ELO1491 (ahead)1452

Draw

Odds

Conditions

09:30 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast2°C · Overcast
Wind9 km/h
Humidity84%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Kian Vakili vs Gray Voelzke — M15 Pembroke Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-28/vakili-vs-voelzke-m15-pembroke-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 28 October 2026).