UMPIRY
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Y. Tanaka vs Saki Tange — M15 Yanagawa City Round of 32

M15 Yanagawa CityR32HardWed 28 Oct · 12:30
Y. TanakaJPN63%
VSSlight edge · Tanaka Y.
Saki TangeJPN37%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Tanaka Y.
63%37%

Tanaka Y. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Tanaka Y.4.8/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Tange S.4.5/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
What we know
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 552
Hard ELO1 542
Last 108–2
Age23
ELO1 521
Hard ELO1 519
Last 106–4
Age22

Y. Tanaka faces Saki Tange in the M15 Yanagawa City round of 32 on hard. Y. Tanaka brings the better recent hard form (8 of 10).

Key context

  • Last match: Y. Tanaka dropped just 2 games past Riku Takahata.
  • Fatigue load: Both played two three-setters in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.
  • Surface form: Y. Tanaka 8 of 10, Saki Tange 6 of 10 on hard recently — Y. Tanaka the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Tanaka Y.Tange S.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss8–2 (ahead)6–4
Season win rate69% (11–5) (ahead)55% (6–5)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1552 (ahead)1521
Hard-court ELO1542 (ahead)1519
Serve vs returnLast 8 vs 5 matches
1st-serve points won71% (ahead)62%
Return points won44%46% (ahead)
Aces / match2.8 (ahead)0.8
ClutchLast 8 vs 5 matches
Break points saved60%61% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

12:30 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast19°C · Clear
Wind16 km/h
Humidity49%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Y. Tanaka vs Saki Tange — M15 Yanagawa City Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-28/tanaka-vs-tange-m15-yanagawa-city-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 28 October 2026).