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Bautista De La Pena vs Mateo Barreiros Reyes — M15 Joao Pessoa Round of 32

M15 Joao PessoaR32ClayWed 28 Oct · 10:00
Bautista De La PenaCHI32%
VSClear favourite · Barreiros Reyes M.
Mateo Barreiros ReyesBRA68%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Barreiros Reyes M.
32%68%

Clear edge for Barreiros Reyes M. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
De La Pena B.5.9/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Barreiros Reyes M.5.7/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form6 of last 10 on clayInformative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 494
Clay ELO1 499
Last 107–3
Age17
ELO1 569
Clay ELO1 556
Last 106–4
Age25

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

De La Pena B.Barreiros Reyes M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)6–4
Season win rate63% (10–6)75% (3–1) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO14941569 (ahead)
Clay-court ELO14991556 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 10 vs 2 matches
1st-serve points won63%71% (ahead)
Return points won41%44% (ahead)
Aces / match2.5 (ahead)1.5
ClutchLast 10 vs 2 matches
Break points saved52%70% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast31°C · Drizzle
Wind19 km/h
Humidity60%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Bautista De La Pena vs Mateo Barreiros Reyes — M15 Joao Pessoa Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-28/pena-vs-reyes-m15-joao-pessoa-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 28 October 2026).