Takuya Kumasaka vs Ryota Tanuma

UMPIRY

M15 Yanagawa CityR32HardWed 28 Oct · 10:00

Takuya KumasakaATP #670 · JPN57%

VSToss-up

Ryota TanumaJPN43%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up

57%43%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Kumasaka T.4.9/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Tanuma R.5.0/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form3 of last 10 on hardSupports Kumasaka T.

Recent runLost last 3Informative

Head-to-headTrails 0–1 on hardInformative

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 633

Hard ELO1 610

Last 105–5

Age28

Height175 cm

PlaysRight

ELO1 616

Hard ELO1 598

Last 107–3

Age31

Height180 cm

PlaysRight

Takuya Kumasaka faces Ryota Tanuma in the M15 Yanagawa City round of 32 on hard. Ryota Tanuma holds the paper edge — leading the head-to-head 1–0.

Key context

Last match: Takuya Kumasaka dropped just 5 games past Hayato Tokoda.
Head-to-head: Ryota Tanuma leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at M25 Sapporo 2 2022.
Surface form: Takuya Kumasaka 5 of 10, Ryota Tanuma 7 of 10 on hard recently — Ryota Tanuma the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Tanuma R. leads 1–0

Tanuma R.September 2022M25 Sapporo 2Hard6-2 6-1

Evidence

Kumasaka T.Tanuma R.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss5–57–3

Season win rate44% (12–15)60% (9–6)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO16331616

Hard-court ELO16101598

Serve vs returnLast 25 vs 9 matches

1st-serve points won65%64%

Return points won40%41%

Aces / match2.71.0

ClutchLast 25 vs 9 matches

Break points saved63%46%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast17°C · Clear

Wind9 km/h

Humidity58%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Takuya Kumasaka vs Ryota Tanuma — M15 Yanagawa City Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-28/kumasaka-vs-tanuma-m15-yanagawa-city-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 28 October 2026).