UMPIRY
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Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas vs Joaquin Guilleme — M15 Mazatlan Round of 16

M15 MazatlanR16HardWed 28 Oct · 12:30
Ian Luca Cervantes TomasESP65%
VSSlight edge · Cervantes Tomas I.
Joaquin Guilleme(7)NCA35%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Cervantes Tomas I.
65%35%

Cervantes Tomas I. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Cervantes Tomas I.4.9/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Guilleme J.5.0/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
What we know
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 574
Hard ELO1 551
Last 107–3
Age22
ELO1 563
Hard ELO1 541
Last 107–3
Age20

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Cervantes Tomas I.Guilleme J.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–37–3
Season win rate67% (10–5)67% (2–1)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1574 (ahead)1563
Hard-court ELO1551 (ahead)1541
Serve vs returnLast 10 vs 2 matches
1st-serve points won61%78% (ahead)
Return points won45%45%
Aces / match0.83.5 (ahead)
ClutchLast 10 vs 2 matches
Break points saved44% (ahead)43%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

12:30 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast25°C · Thunderstorm
Wind11 km/h
Humidity91%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas vs Joaquin Guilleme — M15 Mazatlan Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-28/guilleme-vs-tomas-m15-mazatlan-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 28 October 2026).