UMPIRY
EN

Frazier Rengifo vs Jesse Flores — M15 Mazatlan Round of 16

M15 MazatlanR16HardThu 29 Oct · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
45%55%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Rengifo F.4.7/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Flores J.4.5/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form3 of last 10 on hardInformative
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 510
Hard ELO1 496
Last 102–8
Age27
Height183 cm
PlaysRight
ELO1 519
Hard ELO1 522
Last 104–6
Age31
Height188 cm
PlaysRight

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Rengifo F.Flores J.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss2–84–6 (ahead)
Season win rate22% (2–7)42% (5–7) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15101519 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO14961522 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 6 vs 11 matches
1st-serve points won65%75% (ahead)
Return points won42% (ahead)33%
Aces / match1.05.5 (ahead)
ClutchLast 6 vs 11 matches
Break points saved39%54% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast25°C · Thunderstorm
Wind30 km/h
Humidity90%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Rengifo F.Flores J.
10Days since last match11 — fresher
0Matches · 7 days0
0Games · 7 days0
2Matches · 14 days1 — fresher
34Games · 14 days18 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Frazier Rengifo vs Jesse Flores — M15 Mazatlan Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-29/flores-vs-rengifo-m15-mazatlan-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 29 October 2026).