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Juan Dominguez Collado vs Aydan Gomez Osorio — M15 Pembroke Round of 32

M15 PembrokeR32HardWed 28 Oct · 11:00
Juan Dominguez ColladoGUA83%
VSStrong favourite · Dominguez Collado J.
Aydan Gomez OsorioAHO17%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Dominguez Collado J.
83%17%

Clear edge for Dominguez Collado J. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 6 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Dominguez Collado J.5.9/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Gomez Osorio A.4.9/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface switchClay → HardAgainst the prediction · Gomez Osorio A.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 509
Hard ELO1 506
Last 105–5
Age24
ELO1 401
Hard ELO1 435
Last 104–6
Age27

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Dominguez Collado J.Gomez Osorio A.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–5 (ahead)4–6
Season win rate67% (4–2) (ahead)29% (2–5)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1509 (ahead)1401
Hard-court ELO1506 (ahead)1435
Serve vs returnLast 4 vs 1 matches
1st-serve points won61% (ahead)53%
Return points won44% (ahead)30%
Aces / match1.8 (ahead)1.0
ClutchLast 4 vs 1 matches
Break points saved46%50% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast5°C · Overcast
Wind12 km/h
Humidity70%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Juan Dominguez Collado vs Aydan Gomez Osorio — M15 Pembroke Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-28/collado-vs-osorio-m15-pembroke-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 28 October 2026).