L. Liu vs Ryan Colby — M15 Mazatlan Round of 16
L. Liu faces Ryan Colby in the M15 Mazatlan round of 16 on hard. L. Liu brings the better recent hard form (6 of 10).
Key context
- Last match: L. Liu handed Stefan Cooper a first-set bagel in a 6–0 6–4 win.
- Last match: Ryan Colby handed Jeronimo Velazco Escobar a second-set bagel in a 6–2 6–0 win.
- Surface form: L. Liu 6 of 10, Ryan Colby 4 of 10 on hard recently — L. Liu the sharper of late.
Serve flowLiu L. unbroken · Colby R. broken twice.
- Hold to love/15
- Hold to 30
- Hold to 40 / deuce
- Broken
- Result unknown
Liu L.2/2Colby R.1/3
Set 1
Match momentum
Last 23 pointsLiu L.Colby R.Swinging toLiu L.24
6Last 12 points6
7Last 3 games6
1/2Break points0/0
30 pointsNow
Break of serve
Key moments
Latest first- BREAKSet 1 · Game 3Liu L. broke serve
- BREAKSet 1 · Game 1Liu L. broke serve
Pre-match context
Liu L. came in with the higher hard rating (1528 vs 1480) and the better recent record (6–4 vs 4–6).
Pre-match prediction
Set before the first ball · not updated in playPre-match win probability
63%37%
Umpiry Score
5.0/10/103.8
Matchup strength 0–10 · not a probabilityCommon opponents
0 shared · last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.
Head-to-head
They have not met before.
Season statistics
Form · Rating · Serve vs return · ClutchShowHide
Liu L.Colby R.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–4 (ahead)4–6
Season win rate57% (12–9) (ahead)33% (6–12)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1533 (ahead)1509
Hard-court ELO1528 (ahead)1480
Serve vs returnLast 12 vs 16 matches
1st-serve points won67% (ahead)63%
Return points won41%41%
Aces / match2.2 (ahead)1.9
ClutchLast 12 vs 16 matches
Break points saved51%55% (ahead)
Draw
Cite this
Umpiry, "L. Liu vs Ryan Colby — M15 Mazatlan Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-28/colby-vs-liu-m15-mazatlan-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 28 October 2026).