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Federica Urgesi vs Ann Akasha Ceuca — W35 Malta Round of 32

W35 MaltaR32HardWed 28 Oct · 10:00
Federica Urgesi(1)WTA #270 · ITA67%
VSClear favourite · Urgesi F.
Ann Akasha CeucaWTA #575 · GER33%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Urgesi F.
67%33%

Clear edge for Urgesi F. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Urgesi F.5.4/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Ceuca A.6.1/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Recent runLost last 3Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 654
Hard ELO1 554
Last 106–4
Age21
EarningsCareer $116K2026 $44K
ELO1 572
Hard ELO1 571
Last 103–7
Age19
EarningsCareer $26K2026 $13K

Federica Urgesi faces Ann Akasha Ceuca in the W35 Malta round of 32 on hard. Federica Urgesi holds the paper edge — ranked #270.

Key context

  • Surface form: Federica Urgesi 4 of 4, Ann Akasha Ceuca 1 of 4 on hard recently — Federica Urgesi the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Urgesi F.Ceuca A.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–4 (ahead)3–7
Season win rate57% (33–25) (ahead)56% (25–20)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1654 (ahead)1572
Hard-court ELO15541571 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 52 vs 43 matches
1st-serve points won61% (ahead)59%
Return points won49% (ahead)46%
Aces / match1.9 (ahead)0.7
ClutchLast 52 vs 43 matches
Break points saved53% (ahead)50%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast21°C · Partly cloudy
Wind14 km/h
Humidity57%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Federica Urgesi vs Ann Akasha Ceuca — W35 Malta Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-28/ceuca-vs-urgesi-w35-malta-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 28 October 2026).